Leicester will be top of the Premier League after five games. That’s according to our model of how the opening matches will play out.

We’ve run the opening fixtures through our exclusive prediction method to see how the table might look after the first five weeks.

Our number crunching s hows that West Ham came 12th in the Tough Start league and that is reflected in their position after five games – a relatively healthy eighth. But that hasn’t factored in the Stadium factor – whether it gives the Irons a case of the jitters, or lifts them with the roar of 60,000.

After Leicester, Tottenham are in second and Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City third. Liverpool and Watford’s awkward opening fixtures count against them.

Read more Full list of West Ham Premier League games 2016/17

These two teams have the toughest opening five games in the Premier League next season, leaving them 14th and 15th respectively in our model.

Jurgen Klopp’s side take on Arsenal, Leicester and Tottenham in their opening five, while the lowest-placed team Watford will face in that time is Chelsea.

There is better news for newly-promoted Middlesbrough. Four out of the first five teams Aitor Karanka’s side will face finished in the bottom half of the Premier League last season. This should mean they take enough points to be in 16th place.

League table predictor

  1. Leicester City
  2. Tottenham Hotspur
  3. Manchester City
  4. Southampton
  5. Arsenal
  6. Manchester United
  7. Chelsea
  8. West Ham United
  9. Everton
  10. West Bromwich Albion
  11. Stoke City
  12. Crystal Palace
  13. Swansea City
  14. Liverpool
  15. Watford
  16. Middlesbrough
  17. Bournemouth
  18. Burnley
  19. Sunderland
  20. Hull City


We took the bookies’ odds for the opening round of Premier League fixtures and used them to estimate the chances of all 20 teams winning their opening five games.

We then added together each team’s chances of winning each of their first five games and ranked them based on that.