The first past the post system can lead to a lot of non-contests when it comes to the general election but the drama is still immense.
Imagine life for figures like Lib Dems’ Danny Alexander. One minute whisked into Whitehall as Chief Secretary of the Treasury, the next (possibly) dumped by the electorate with no standing, status or job.
Or Douglas Alexander, another possible victim of the SNP surge. Years waiting in the wings to take over one of the three major officers of the land – Foreign Secretary – only to lose out on the red box when the summit is in sight.
In east and south east London, no revolution stirs. As we reported before nominations closed, the biggest question mark was Tower Hamlets First. If they fielded candidates in the Tower Hamlets constituencies then Labour’s virtual monopoly would be under threat. But a lot has happened since then…
One of the shocks of election could be in Bermondsey and Old Southwark where Labour are trying to topple Lib Dem veteran Simon Hughes.
And another point of note will be the conduct of the polling and count in Tower Hamlets. Extra scrutiny (and police) will fall on the borough after the debacle of the voided mayoral elections last year. Read about it here.
Estimated local declaration times
Cities of London and Westminster: 2.30am
Bermondsey and Old Southwark: 3am
East Ham: 3.30am
West Ham: 3.30am
Lewisham East: 4am
Lewisham Deptford: 4am
Greenwich and Woolwich: 4am
Hackney South And Shoreditch: 4am
Poplar and Limehouse: 5am
Bethnal Green and Bow: 5am
Finchley and Golders Green: Declaration expected 5am
Margaret Thatcher’s former constituency of Finchley and Golders Green is currently tied between Labour and the Conservatives at 43% of the vote apiece according to the latest predictions.
Sheffield Hallam: Declaration expected 4.30am
This is Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg’s seat and he only has a narrow lead of three points ahead of Labour candidate Oliver Coppard.
South Thanet: Declaration expected 6am
With Nigel Farage promising to quit as UKIP leader is he isn’t re-elected this is one not to be missed. Craig Mackinlay, the Conservative party candidate, currently leads Farage by five points so the UKIP leader will be hoping for the “shy-kippers” to make their voices heard.
Thurrock: Declaration expected 3am
This is the result that is looking the hardest to call with Ukip and the Conservatives both tied on 32% of the vote while Labour is only one point behind on 31. A three-horse race if ever there was one.
Rochester and Strood: Declaration expected 5am
Mark Reckless won this seat for UKIP when he defected last year but he is on course to lose his seat to the Conservatives this time around.
Paisley and Renfrewshire South: Declaration expected 3am
Labour’s chief election strategist Douglas Alexander looks sure to lose his seat to the SNP if the polls are to be believed. He currently trails the SNP candidate by 12 points.
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk: Declaration expected 4.30am
This was the only seat in Scotland to have been won by a Conservative MP but it’s squeaky bum time for John Lamont with just two points separating him and the SNP candidate, Pauline Stewart.
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey: Declaration expected 5am
Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander is set to be wiped out in his seat, currently trailing the SNP by 23 points.
Gordon: Declaration expected 5am
This seat is set to be won by former SNP leader Alex Salmond. He currently leads by 13 points.
10 seats too close to call
Finchley and Golders Green – Con-Lab – 5am
Stockton South Con-Lab – 3am
Harrow East – Con-Lab – 4am
Norwich North – Con-Lab – 4.30am
Ealing Central and Acton – Con-Lab – 5am
Northampton North – Con-Lab – 2am
Hornsey and Wood Green – Lab-Lib Dem – 3am
Peterborough – Con-Lab – 3am
Leeds North West Lab-Lib Dem – 4.30am
Thurrock – Con-Ukip-Lab – 3am