Racing Post tips for Glorious Goodwood

By Jon Massey on July 28, 2014 1:32 PM |


Glorious Goodwood kicks off tomorrow (Tuesday, July 29) and Racing Post betting editor Paul Kealy has been scrutinising the field.

Let's hope the weather stays fair this week as no meeting shows British racing at its best better than Goodwood when the most scenic course anywhere in the world is bathed in the Sussex sunshine.

The big race of the week for many will be the unoriginally titled "Duel on the Downs" for Wednesday's Sussex Stakes between last year's hero Toronado and new kid on the block Kingman.

I say unoriginal because two of the last three runnings of this race have been given the same moniker, but there's no doubt this is a match between two giants among milers.

Toronado is an exceptional horse and is well worth respecting, but Kingman's turn of foot was sensational in the St. James's Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, where he ran the last two furlongs faster than Group 1-winning sprinter Sole Power on the same day.

Given a likely tactical battle, he will surely have too much pace for an older rival who must give him weight.

If that's the big race of the week, the big betting heat is the 32Red Cup, formerly known as the Steward's Cup until the new sponsors rather controversially dropped its 174-year-old title.

For a long while I have been keen on Mike Murphy's Discussiontofollow in this valuable sprint and still expect him to make the frame at least despite the emergence of a major threat in Muthmir, who looked a horse of Group-race potential at York on Saturday.

Discussiontofollow has that potential too, though, and I can't help but believe he is tailor-made for 6f at Goodwood.

They simply can't go fast enough for him, as he showed when tanking through his race and coming through to win over 5f at Ascot last time.

He'll still be swinging on the bit two furlongs out and, if he's on the right side of the track and the ground remains good or faster, he has to go very close.

The other big betting race is the Friday's Betfred Mile, a race in which the draw will be even more important.

Get a wide berth and you can expect your fancy to drift markedly in the betting, but the long-range bet has to be Velox, a fantastic-looking horse who turned a valuable Sandown handicap into a procession at the beginning of this month.

After just eight runs, the first coming only 14 months ago, he is likely to have plenty more improvement to come.

Finally, if you want to see a star two-year-old, look out for Ivawood on Thursday.

He already looks like a four-year-old and is likely to outclass the opposition wherever he goes, not that you'll get rich backing him.

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